Page 209 · Module 09, Finance & Metrics · this screen continues that page

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9.2BeginnerModule 09 · Finance & Metrics

Burn Rate & Runway

Know exactly how much time you have and what you're spending it on

The prompt

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9.2Burn Rate & Runway
Act as a startup CFO advisor. My financials: Current cash / reserves: [AMOUNT] Monthly revenue : [CURRENT MRR OR ARR / 12] Monthly expenses (total) : [BREAKDOWN IF POSSIBLE: Salaries: [X] Infrastructure: [X] Marketing: [X] Other: [X]] Calculate: GROSS BURN : Total monthly cash out NET BURN : Gross burn minus monthly revenue RUNWAY : Current cash / net burn = months remaining Then model three scenarios: SCENARIO A (Current) : Runway at current trajectory SCENARIO B (Growth) : If I hire 2 people and double marketing, new runway? SCENARIO C (Conserve) : If I cut non-essential spend 30%, how much runway does that add? At what monthly revenue does net burn hit zero? What is the fastest path to break-even?
LabelsReplace theseSwap the role below

LabelsReplace theseSwap the role below

Pro tip, from the book

The most important burn rate insight is not the number itself — it is the break-even revenue calculation. Knowing that you need 45,000 in monthly revenue to reach zero net burn gives you a concrete target that connects financial health to sales activity. Every founder should know their break-even revenue number without having to look it up.

Who should run this prompt

Module role profile

Who should review your numbers and financial narrative? Numbers do not lie — but they can mislead when read through the wrong lens. A CFO and an investor look at the same P&L and ask completely different questions. A customer's finance team looks at your pricing and asks a question neither of them thought of. Use this page to choose who is in the room before you present, model, or decide based on your financial data.

Choose any role to drop it into the prompt above. Only the highlighted opening clause changes — the rest of the prompt stays exactly as printed.

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See also: 1.3 Role Prompting - The Expert Chair

Use this when

The problem it solves

You are running a funded startup or a business with variable revenue and you do not have a clear, current view of how many months of operating capital you have left. Financial decisions are being made without a clear runway calculation.

How the framework works

From the printed page

Burn Rate is the rate at which a company is spending its cash reserves above revenue, either Gross Burn (total monthly expenditure) or Net Burn (monthly cash lost after revenue). Runway is the number of months until cash reaches zero at the current net burn rate. These two numbers are the most fundamental financial metrics for any pre- profitability business. Every strategic decision, hiring, marketing investment, product bets, changes the runway. AI can help model the impact of decisions on runway and identify the break-even scenarios.

The method, in four moves

Do these in order
1

Calculate net burn monthly, not quarterly, cash positions change faster than quarterly reviews reveal.

2

Build your runway calculation from the bottom up, know exactly what each expense line contributes to burn.

3

Model three burn scenarios: current trajectory, growth scenario (higher spend + revenue), and conservation scenario.

4

Set a runway alert threshold, when you hit 9 months of runway, fundraising or cost review must begin immediately. Waiting until you hit 9 months to start fundraising is already too late, fundraising itself takes months, and a shrinking runway makes you negotiate from weakness. The threshold triggers action, it doesn't wait for it.

Where the framework comes from

Startup finance fundamentals — burn rate and runway widely standardised in VC lexicon

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Framework9.2 of 108
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Prompt extracted18 Sept 2026
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